Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 16.534959 18.772720 21.294346 24.364729 28.027078 32.286684 37.661445
2025-08-31 13.233880 15.970825 19.312620 23.754125 29.596050 37.154078 47.903788
2025-09-07 11.450673 14.384333 18.163371 23.498607 31.023190 41.558364 58.002816
2025-09-14 9.895622 12.795131 16.678721 22.413839 30.945359 43.656228 65.060146
2025-09-21 8.673483 11.473106 15.340999 21.264649 30.473037 44.931987 70.941669
2025-09-28 7.844917 10.591281 14.493471 20.672641 30.681155 47.203356 78.911914
2025-10-05 7.992515 11.098992 15.688424 23.307703 36.403484 59.686677 109.031681
2025-10-12 7.686850 10.897163 15.778687 24.176204 39.282864 67.759918 133.222925
2025-10-19 7.083210 10.183740 14.992487 23.471733 39.224302 70.197507 145.823782
2025-10-26 6.849272 10.021226 15.063926 24.238085 42.000842 78.908980 176.659366
2025-11-02 6.436150 9.537842 14.559187 23.909083 42.584771 83.071525 197.430041
2025-11-09 6.044002 9.058300 14.017390 23.445302 42.815721 86.481529 217.554607
2025-11-16 5.709675 8.665361 13.616401 23.252473 43.699223 91.931969 247.622162
2025-11-23 5.342063 8.192123 13.038237 22.657536 43.634889 95.096859 272.275616
2025-11-30 5.064000 7.850477 12.663492 22.418117 44.322740 100.399739 307.909159
2025-12-07 4.700754 7.338481 11.941051 21.396463 43.041809 100.052331 321.675766
2025-12-14 4.359920 6.846225 11.221590 20.313297 41.468165 98.558889 330.244650
2025-12-21 4.116561 6.511811 10.772437 19.754925 41.096512 100.533747 355.839628
2025-12-28 4.271525 6.893654 11.697015 22.238333 48.798659 129.800556 542.822049
2026-01-04 4.210364 6.878689 11.855939 23.055787 52.349475 147.163874 691.810043
2026-01-11 3.990882 6.558418 11.389455 22.392761 51.703117 149.423841 746.401284
2026-01-18 3.931438 6.533157 11.510415 23.114012 55.141477 168.367674 953.326725
2026-01-25 3.772077 6.309870 11.212973 22.804420 55.494865 175.325769 1076.561291